On any given Sunday . . .
It’s still too early in the 2019 National Football League
season to be talking this way, but the way the Browns have played football this
season, it somehow makes sense.
“Right now, the season can go either way,” said struggling
wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. the other day as Sunday’s invasion of the
Seattle Seahawks creeps closer. “We are
at that fork in the road.
“It’s funny we’re all having these conversations where I
feel like in the past this team might have been 1-4, 0-5 and now we’re all
upset because we’re 2-3.”
Beckham is absolutely right. In the past, a 2-3 record at
this point of the season would be reason to be joyous, overjoyed in fact, even
downright gleeful. It’s a strange feeling that takes a little getting used to.
This season is teetering on one game. One game in a 16-game
schedule, according to Beckham can conceivably be the determining factor in how
the rest of the season unfolds. He called that kind of thinking “a good
mind-set we have that we are upset we are 2-3 and know we’re capable of doing
more. It’s just about doing more.”
Added fellow wideout Jarvis Landry, “We’re 2-3 and easily a
couple of those games, our record again could be flipped to 4-1.” Well, 3-2
maybe, but not 4-1. Tennessee and San Francisco drilled the Browns. The only time
they had a good chance to win and didn’t was the Los Angeles Rams game.
Landry admits the Browns aren’t playing up to their
potential. “We haven’t been making enough plays, whether we’ve been put in
position or not,” he said candidly. “Our playmakers haven’t really been given a
lot of opportunities to make plays.”
A well-placed and not-so-veiled shot at coach Freddie
Kitchens and offensive coordinator Todd Monken, the so-called masterminds behind
an offense that has been inconsistent and spectacularly disappointing.
This pivotal game against one of the best teams in the
league, if Beckham and Landry are featured, will go a long way in determining the
path the Browns take not only in the immediate future, but the rest of the
season.
They believe one of the best ways to succeed in taking the
correct direction on that forked road is to maximize the reasons they were
brought to Cleveland in the first place. In short, “doing more” translates to throw
them the damn ball.
Upsetting the Seahawks is mandatory with the New England
Patriots awaiting them after the bye week. Entering that game in Foxboro at 2-4
virtually guarantees a 2-5 start and a howling fan base bellowing for heads to
roll.
Optimists say cool it. Better days lie ahead. They point to
a much easier schedule in the second half of the season than the minefield that
is the first half. And they play a stretch later on: Four out of five games at
home, including three in a row.
Besides, the win-loss rhythm of this schedule suggests a possible
Browns victory against the Seahawks. They are L-W-L-W-L in the first five
games. Two of those Ls, however, were at home.
Okay, that’s a stretch. Ot is it? Moving on.
Two factors for this one: The Seahawks have lost only one
game this season. And the Browns have yet to win a home game in two attempts.
The ‘Hawks are not overwhelming anyone this season from a
statistical standpoint. They just
beat you with sound, fundamental, mistake-free football. Four of their five
games this season have been decided by six points or fewer, including their
lone loss to New Orleans.
They come limping in along the offensive line with tackle
Duane Brown (biceps) and guard D. J, Fluker (hamstring) listed as doubtful as
of Saturday, which means they won’t play. That’s 40% of an offensive line that
right now can dress only six healthy men.
George Fant, who doubles as a tight end the closer the Seahawks
get to the opposing team’s goal line, takes over for Brown at left tackle,
while former Ohio State standout Jamarco Jones fills in at right guard for Fluker.
Which means the Cleveland defensive front, especially the pass
rush, should have an enjoyable and productive afternoon, at least
theoretically, chasing Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson and gaining a small
measure of redemption from its sorry effort last Sunday night against San
Francisco.
Keep an eye on how much of a push off the snap the defensive
front gets. If they duplicate their effort 49ers effort against the Seattle, it
will be a long afternoon.
The run defense, torn to shreds for 275 yards by the Niners,
will get another severe test from the Seahawks, who love to run the football.
Myles Garrett, who has nearly half of the club’s 16 sacks, was
held in check by 49ers rookie offensive tackle Justin Skule last weekend with
just one sack and a couple of tackles. But he’s not getting much help from the
rest of his linemates, except Larry Ogunjobi, who at least occasionally makes
plays.
Newcomers Sheldon Richardson and Olivier Vernon have not played
anywhere near what was expected of them. Richardson has been a cipher next to
Ogunjobi, who at least puts some pressure on the quarterback. The seven-year
pro, who played for the Seahawks
in 2017, has made no discernable contributions this season.
Vernon, who brought 51 sacks over a seven-year career to the
Browns, checks in with just one this season from left end. He has taken no heat
whatsoever off Garrett on the other side. Add in only 11 tackles, just seven
solo, and it’s puzzling why Genard Avery is still tethered to the bench.
Keeping Wilson in check is a monumental task. The smallish
Wilson – he’s about two inches shorter than Baker Mayfield – is still, at 31,
one of the slipperiest quarterbacks in the NFL when escaping the pocket. He extends
plays with the best of them.
The Seahawks run the football 47% of the time. They no doubt
are licking their chops when they notice the Browns cough up 151 yards on game
on the ground, Chris Carson coming back from a shoulder injury, and Rashaad
Penny bear the brunt of the heavy load on the ground.
But it’s Wilson the Browns must pay close attention to. He is quietly having the best year of
his eight-year career – and that’s saying something with two Super Bowl appearances
and a Vince Lombardi Trophy on his résumé – with 12 touchdown passes, a 73% completion rate and no
interceptions.
He is also the second-leading rusher with 120 yards, almost
all on scrambles, and a pair of touchdown runs. On the minus side, he has been
sacked 13 times and with Brown and Fluker out, that total could easily climb.
His favorite targets are wide receiver Tyler Lockett (three
touchdowns) and tight end Will Dissly, who has 23 receptions, four of which
wound up in the end zone. And with the Browns ‘ seemingly never-ending problem
covering tight ends, look for him to be a major target Sunday.
The Seahawks, who barely squeezed past Cincinnati and
Pittsburgh by a total of three points in the first two games of the season, are
more vulnerable on defense.
Mayfield and & Co., who played with sloth-like speed
against the 49ers, should, again theoretically, have more success against a
Seattle defense that has allowed 351 yards a game, a 65% pass completion rate
and intercepted only three passes.
Where the Browns might encounter trouble is when Mayfield
drops back to pass. Maybe. The Seahawks’ pass rush has been the most
disappointing aspect of the defense with only 10 sacks, which means they are
due to erupt against some unsuspecting team with the likes of Jadeveon Clowney,
Ziggy Ansah and Al Woods.
Try to run, though, and you find the defense’s strength. It
has allowed only 80 yards a game, which means Nick Chubb undoubtedly, will draw
a major portion of the attention.
It’s the weak secondary the Browns hope to exploit with the
return of Rashard Higgins and Antonio Callaway, plus a concentrated effort to
make Beckham and Landry a major part of the offense. Maybe the most major.
The first inclination when making a predication for this one
is to consider the Seahawks are making a cross-country trip with a three-hour
time difference and making that a factor. But the Seahawks are a surprising
14-12 when playing in the Eastern and Central Time Zones since 2014. So much
for that.
Then I looked again at the Seahawks’ relatively
underwhelming statistics and almost convinced myself there’s more to those
stats than meets the eye. There is a reason they are 4-1. So much for that,
too.
And then I looked again at the undulating record the Browns have
put together thus far. The L-W-L-W-L season is somewhat intriguing. So much so,
I thought why not? I remembered the meme uttered initially by NFL Commissioner
Bert Bell nearly eight decades ago.
It goes like this: “On any given Sunday, any team in the
National Football League team can beat any other team.” The Seahawks should win
this game because they are the better team. But the better team does not always
win. And this feels like an “any given Sunday” moment. The Browns even their
record at 3-3. Make it:
Browns 24, Seahawks 22
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