Questions seeking answers . . . and still getting them
Picking up on the defense, in particular the secondary. We
know there will be two new safeties. So . . .
Any alarm at cornerback?
Uh huh. The biggest question there is whether Joe Haden can
play all 16 games. The last time he did that was as a rookie back in 2010, but
he started only seven that season. He has never played a full season as a
starter – he came close on three occasions with 15 starts. It seems he is an
injury waiting to happen.
In his six NFL seasons, he has been sidelined by injuries to
his hip, shoulder, foot, ribs, finger and now his head. Last season, it was
ankle, finger and concussion issues that forced him to miss 11 games. The
Browns need him to stay healthy because he is the closest they have to what
amounts to a shutdown cornerback.
The rest of the cornerback lot gives pause for great
concern. Veteran Tramon Williams came over from Green Bay last season as a corner
with fading talent and proved it time and again. The only reason he wasn’t
benched? No one else was better.
The best disappointing second-year man Justin Gilbert could
do was replicate his wasted rookie season. Former head coach Mike Pettine’s
prize corner, the club’s top pick in the 2014 draft, has been a colossal bust,
a spectacular zero.
Now along comes defensive coordinator Ray Horton, a former
defensive back, whose main job here is to crawl inside Gilbert’s head and show
him what it takes to play solid football on this level. Because he does not
know Gilbert yet, expect the youngster to get a fresh start. No preconceived
notions.
Haden, who will open training camp on the PUP list, and Tramon
Williams are your starters at the corners right now with K’Waun Williams a good
bet to nail down the nickel slot. Second-year man Charles Gaines had typical
rookie problems, but showed promise as the season wore on last year.
Last season, Cleveland’s corners played an awful lot of man
coverage, partly because of experienced safeties and a philosophy that relied
heavily on rushing the quarterback. It will be interesting to see how Horton
handles this year’s group given the relative inexperience at safety.
Odds on Gilbert becoming a starter, let alone making the club?
If Horton cannot unlock the mystery of why he has severely
underperformed, the kid is gone.
What’s the story with special teams?
At least there is some stability somewhere. The only
coordinator returning from last season is special teams guru Chris Tabor. Also
returning are punter Andy Lee and placekicker Travis Coons.
Lee, who arrived last season as one of the best punters in
the National Football League, was not his usual Pro Bowl self. Look for a
rebound there.
One would think Coons’ rookie season, when he converted 28
of 32 field-goal attempts and 22 of 24 extra-pointers from 33 yards, is enough
to warrant a return. He’ll be challenged by free agent Patrick Murray in
training camp and probably win.
Where the club is hurting is the return game now that Travis
Benjamin has taken his talents to San Diego. The wide receiver was a constant
threat to go all the way every time he touched the football. That will be
missed.
Who replaces Benjamin? Raheem Mostert? Gilbert? Marlon
Moore? Taylor Gabriel? None pose the kind of threat Benjamin did.
Summing up, where are the greatest strengths and weaknesses on offense?
Unfortunately, there are more of the latter than the former.
It clearly depends on whether the Browns can keep quarterback
Robert Griffin III vertical the entire season. With an offensive line that can
be best described as questionable, the odds favor Griffin falling far short of
that goal, especially with his predilection to run the ball when in trouble.
Coach Hue Jackson might find it difficult to maintain a
balanced attack if his team falls so far behind in games that he has no other
choice than to throw the football. In that case, Griffin’s lack of accuracy
from the pocket could be a problem.
The key is the offensive line. If it cannot pave the way for
running backs Duke Johnson Jr. and Isaiah Crowell, the 2016 season will turn
out to be a replica of the last two seasons. It’s an absolute must for the Browns
to run the ball successfully. Period.
Where are the greatest strengths and weaknesses on defense?
A little different here. There are more strengths than
weaknesses. And they all lie in the front seven, an area Horton through the
years has exploited successfully. Loading up in that area through the draft
makes his job a bit easier.
His aggressive approach to defense was gleaned from his
mentor, former Pittsburgh Steelers guru Dick LeBeau. Count on Horton taking advantage
of the notion that an attacking defense is a good offense and produces a
fan-pleasing style. That aggressiveness will cover up the biggest weakness –
the secondary.
If the defense can stop the run, and that is a monstrous if
considering the AFC North boasts numerous terrific running backs, if the Browns
somehow improve that aspect of the defense, then this could be an enjoyable
season.
Time to predict who steps up and becomes the club’s rookies of the year
on both sides of the ball.
Wide receiver Corey Coleman from the offense and outside
linebacker/defensive end Emmanuel Ogbah from the defense will win those honors.
From all indications, Coleman has impressed the most in
pre-season workouts and appears to be the most ready to take his game to the
next level. He is a hands catcher with great speed who runs disciplined routes.
His biggest hurdle might be learning the entire route tree, something he did
not have to learn at Baylor. Dark horse for the honor could be fellow wideout
Rashard Higgins, another hands catcher whose college production suggests big
things in the NFL.
Ogbah possesses that rare combination of size and quickness.
If Horton uses Ogbah’s 6-4, 275-pound frame more to rush off the edge than
dropping back into coverage or anchoring against the run, Browns fans very well
could see the best Cleveland pass rush in nearly a generation. If he plays as
well as I believe he will and is utilized all over the field, he could be one
of those players who forces the opposition to play “where’s Ogbah”. Dark horse
here is, yep, inside linebacker Scooby Wright III.
So how many games do the Browns win his season?
They own the 12th easiest schedule in the NFL
this season. However, it is broken up in the most bizarre fashion, which makes
it somewhat tougher and belies the statistical formula that rates strength of
schedule.
Five of the first seven games are on the road, where the Browns
have been awful for 15 of the last 16 seasons. Five of the next six games are
at home before wrapping up the season with two of the final three games on the
road. Yikes!
With the exception of a trip to Tennessee, they play in the
same time zone as Cleveland every week. Nashville is their westernmost trip.
Despite Las Vegas odds, the Browns will not lose every game.
Somewhere along the line, you’ve got to figure they will stumble into at least
three victories, maybe even the giddy total of four.
This is not a good team. Yet. With most likely the top pick
in the next college draft – maybe two of the top 10 choices with Philadelphia’s
pick – the future looks bright. Just not the immediate future.
Training camp opens today in Berea. Buckle up and try to
enjoy what most likely will be a very bumpy – and rarely enjoyable – ride through
the 2016 season.
Hang in there, Browns fans. With Jackson in charge, better things lurk around the corner. Wait’ll next year carries more promise than ever.
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