More questions seeking answers . . . and getting them
Continuing with the offense before turning to the defense.
Who figures to be the biggest surprise on offense?
Once coach Hue Jackson sees Duke Johnson Jr. in training
camp and exhibition games, expect him to make the second-year man out of Miami
of Florida his starting running back. Put simply, Johnson is a playmaker.
Whether it’s in the running game or passing game, the 5-9,
210-pounder has the kind of talent, if handled correctly, that can make a huge
difference in the kind of balanced offense Jackson seeks.
With proper coaching, Johnson can become a force in the
offense. Last season, he was used – make that misused – far too often as a
between-the-tackles runner. He is much more of a slasher, off-tackle, cutback
type with quick feet and excellent vision.
Last season, Johnson had 165 touches for 913 yards (534
through the air on 61 catches) and fumbled the ball only once (recovered by the
Browns), so ball security is not a concern. Isaiah Crowell can be used to get
the tough yards.
Now the defense . . .
Now that Ray Horton has returned as coordinator of this side of the
ball, exactly how much autonomy will he get from Jackson, whose expertise is
clearly on offense?
It should be complete given how hard Jackson lobbied to get
Horton back to Cleveland. But one has to take into consideration that in the
one season Horton spent in Cleveland as Rob Chudzinski’s defensive boss in
2013, the Browns allowed 406 points.
Known for his sophisticated blitz packages, Horton at least
gave the Browns a decent pass rush that season with 40 sacks. Expect more of
the same this season, but he’ll be without defensive ends Desmond Bryant, who
ripped a pectoral muscle recently, and Armonty Bryant, who must sit out the
first four games for violating the NFL’s drug policy.
So who can the fans expect to see harass opposing quarterbacks this
season?
Rookies Carl Nassib, Emmanuel Ogbah and Joe Schobert should
factor heavily in Horton’s numerous sub packages in the front seven to bolster
the contributions of second-year man Nate Orchard and veteran Paul Kruger. Look
for at least 40 sacks this season.
Look also for Horton to involve members of the secondary
from time to time in an effort to confuse rival quarterbacks. Well-timed
cornerback and safety blitzes, as well as zone blitzes, are Horton staples.
And what about the run defense? It has been embarrassingly awful the
past two seasons under Jim O’Neil.
It can’t get any worse. Horton will fix it now that he has a
legitimate nose tackle in Danny Shelton.
But Shelton was a huge disappointment last season. What’s the
difference?
First off, Shelton has pared about 30 pounds to get down to
his playing weight of 335 pounds. Horton’s biggest challenge is to make certain
Shelton, extremely quick for a man his size, maintains his new figure.
If he can, Shelton can become what many believed he would be
in his rookie season last year: a three-down player. Last season, he was
manhandled way too often by opposing linemen 1-on-1. Third down saw him parked
on the bench. That can’t happen this season.
If it does, the Browns don’t have enough depth at the
position to make it easier on linebackers to make plays at or behind the line
of scrimmage. Jamie Meder is a nice fill-in at the nose, but he cannot pressure
the quarterback like an in-shape Shelton can.
Where do Xavier Cooper and John Hughes fit in?
Depends on how well Nassib and Ogbah perform in training
camp. Ogbah, who is listed as a linebacker, has defensive lineman size at 6-4,
275 and could very easily fit in on those rare occasions Horton calls for a 4-3
alignment. And if Nassib puts about 15 more pounds on his 6-7, 275-pound frame,
he, too, could find many reps outside.
Cooper and Hughes probably will start the season, but could
find themselves in smaller roles if Nassib and Ogbah live up to their advance
billing as strong pass rushers.
Looks as though outside linebackers this year will not have as much
coverage responsibility as last season. Who benefits?
Definitely Kruger, whose sack production fell last to a
paltry 2½ last season because O’Neil preferred him covering running backs and tight
ends rather than doing what he does best – beat up on quarterbacks. That will
change this season.
Orchard, who saw more playing time in the second half of
last season, could surprise with his speed off the flank.
What about Barkevious Mingo?
This clearly will be his make-or-break season with the
Browns. The former first-round draft choice has been a spectacular bust in his
first three seasons with just seven sacks – none last season – and only 108
total tackles.
On the Cleveland depth chart, Mingo is listed as a starter
on the weak side. Speaking of weak, the biggest story at the beginning of every
season since he joined the Browns was how weak he was at the point of attack or
rushing the quarterback. At 6-4 and a supposed 240 pounds, he was clearly too
small to play end in a 3-4 scheme.
He never figured out how to rush the quarterback effectively
from linebacker and had a difficult time putting on extra weight. But he
reportedly beefed up during the offseason with a nearly 6,000-calorie-a-day
regimen and supposedly now weighs in the neighborhood of 250 pounds. All he
needs from Horton now is a chance.
What about the inside linebackers?
Gone are Karlos Dansby and Craig Robertson. The Browns will
miss Dansby’s size and heady approach to the game. They hope Demario Davis, a
starter with the New York Jets the last three seasons, can step in and not miss
a beat. The free-agent signee has racked up 313 tackles in that span, 199 solo.
Christian Kirksey, who bounced inside and outside last season,
will settle next to Davis. But keep an eye on Scooby Wright III, who might
surprise a lot of people. I saw enough of Scooby at the University of Arizona to know
he is a special player.
His marvelous instincts for the game enable him to be in the
right place at the right time to make plays. An early-season injury last season
robbed him of a full season and dropped him to the seventh round of the draft,
where the Browns picked him up. The coaches will love him.
A lot of how the inside backers perform this season also will
be determined, in large part, by how well the defensive line plays in front of
them. Another area of concern for Horton.
The secondary will look a lot different this season. How much of an
impact will that have how Horton schemes the season?
A significant one, especially on the inside where the Browns
will have two new safeties. Gone at veterans Donte Whitner and Tashaun Gipson.
Whitner excelled at the run game; Gipson was best in the passing game. Both
will be missed.
Replacing them will be second-year man Ibraheim Campbell at
strong safety and a battle between veterans Jordan Poyer and Rahim Moore will
decide who opens at free safety. The lack of starting experience is somewhat
alarming.
Any alarm at cornerback?
Check back tomorrow to find out the answer to that and many
other questions.
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