Defense takes a back seat
When the New Orleans Saints help the Browns open their home
season Sunday, two things will be most evident. The Saints will throw the
football a lot. And the Browns will run the football a lot.
That’s where these teams excel. When Drew Brees is your
quarterback, you had better feature the forward pass. And when Brian Hoyer is
your quarterback, you had better feature the running game.
This is no slam at Hoyer, who has performed admirably for the
Browns when healthy. But he is no Drew Brees. Not even close. And Brees does
not need a running game to be effective. He’s that good.
And considering the way in which Ben Roethlisberger
deconstructed the Cleveland secondary in the first half of last Sunday’s loss
in Pittsburgh, Brees must be salivating just thinking about what lies ahead
after watching tapes of that one.
Now in his 14th season, Brees has thrown for
nearly 51,500 yards – he’ll reach that figure with the first 86 yards against
the Browns – and 364 touchdowns, completing an astounding 65.9% of his 6,841
passes. He lives to throw the football.
The Browns’ front seven should have no problem locating the
smallish Brees, who is only a half-inch taller than Johnny Manziel. He will be
either in or very close to the pocket at all times. He rarely wanders and has
arguably the quickest release in professional football.
You can almost bet Browns coach Mike Pettine will liberally
rotate his defensive linemen to keep them fresh because the only way to have
any chance of beating Brees or slowing him down or force him to unload the ball
before he wants to is to harass him relentlessly.
In Saints coach Sean Payton’s offense, the run game is
almost an afterthought. Last season, for example, Pierre Thomas was the leading
ground gainer with just 549 yards. The ball was airborne on nearly two of every
three plays.
This is an offense built around throwing the ball. And with
receivers like Marques Colston, Kenny Stills, rookie Brandin Cooks and All-Pro
tight end Jimmy Graham, running the ball takes a very comfortable back seat.
Where the Saints are vulnerable is on defense, at least
based on the first game of the season. In losing to Atlanta in overtime in the
season opener, that defense was gouged for 568 yards and the secondary was torched
by Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan for 448 of those yards and three touchdowns.
Former Browns defensive coordinator Rob Ryan took over
coordinating that side of the ball for the Saints last season and brought some
order to one of the National Football League’s worst defenses the year before. It
finished fourth in total defense and second against the pass. And yet, it was
clueless against Atlanta.
All the more reason the Browns’ offense must be prepared for
what should be a full out Ryan blitzkrieg. Which, of course, makes it
vulnerable against the running game. And with rookies Terrance West and Isaiah
Crowell emerging last Sunday, that could translate into positive yardage for
the Browns.
This could turn out to be a game of big plays. The Saints are
used to them on both sides of the ball. The Falcons last Sunday rang up nine
plays of 20 yards or more. The Cleveland secondary surrendered seven plays of
20 yards or more against Pittsburgh.
The Saints compiled 30 first downs and generated 472 yards
of total offense against Atlanta, but the defense gave up 28 first downs. They
were 8-of-13 on third down, but the defense allowed the Falcons to convert 6-of-11.
About the only way the Saints can win games, it seems, is by
outscoring the opposition because the defense can’t stop it. And that’s where
the Browns have a problem in this one.
They are not capable of outscoring teams because they don’t
have enough talent on offense to overcome any defensive deficiencies. And they
will need a nearly flawless defensive performance in order to have a chance
against the Saints.
The only Cleveland team since 1999 that had the capability
of staying in a game no matter how the defense played was the 2007 club that finished
10-6 and featured the passing of Derek Anderson, pass catching of Braylon
Edwards, Joe Jurevicius and Kellen Winslow Jr. and running of Jamal Lewis.
This iteration of the Browns’ offense is quite different.
Anderson had a gunslinger mentality. Hoyer is exactly the opposite. He’s much
more of a technician who rarely takes chances. And no one in the current
receiving corps comes close to what Edwards accomplished that season.
The one saving grace for the offense, if it can keep it up
against the Saints, is the ability to hang on to the ball. Not one turnover
against a Pittsburgh defense that is far superior to the Saints’, although
Hoyer was fortunate the Steelers’ secondary dropped what should have been two interceptions.
Ball control will be the key against the Saints. The longer
the Browns can keep Brees & Co. on the sideline and their defense fresh,
the better chance they have of not going 0-2 for the sixth time in the last
seven seasons. If the Browns can play relatively mistake-free football, they’ve
got a shot.
The Saints can’t afford to open the season with two losses. Since
1990, only 12% of teams that begin the season that way wind up in the
postseason.
Can’t say the same about the Browns. They do not harbor the
same goals as New Orleans. Their immediate goal is respectability. The Saints
immediate goal is getting back to the Super Bowl.
One final fact: The Saints are just 6-11 on the road since
the 2012 season after posting an 18-6 record away from the Superdome from
2009-2011.
From a statistical standpoint, this should be a high-scoring
game. The Browns rank 31st in total defense heading into this game;
the Saints rank 32nd. The two worst defenses in the NFL collide. The
movable objects vs. the resistible forces. In that case, the Saints hold a
decided advantage with an explosive offense. Make it:
Saints 38, Browns 20
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