Questions begging (and getting) answers
Twenty-five questions (and answers) as the Browns officially
kick off the 2015 season Thursday morning with the start of training camp in
Berea. In no particular order . . .
How long will it take
head coach Mike Pettine to name Josh McCown as his starting quarterback for the
season opener? He said he’s not guaranteeing it, but c’mon, do you really
believe that? He strains his credibility when he talks like that.
Who will win the
running back battle? Is there someone good enough to be the top dog right out
of the chute? That’s two questions, but don’t be surprised if rookie Duke
Johnson, if given the chance in exhibition games, is the man because of his
talents as a receiver out of the backfield. With the emphasis placed on the
running game (because of a weak passing game), it’s possible all three candidates
(Johnson, Isaiah Crowell and Terrance West) will see plenty of reps throughout
the course of the season.
Where will
first-round draft choice Cameron Erving wind up on the offensive line?
Somewhere to the right of center Alex Mack, most likely right guard unless he
shows well in camp at right tackle.
And which starter
from last season loses his job? The candidates are John Greco and Mitchell
Schwartz. Pick one.
What will be nose
tackle Danny Shelton’s most difficult job? Many have labeled the club’s top
draft choice a two-down lineman. He’s got to prove them wrong. If he plays
anywhere near as well he did in college, that shouldn’t be difficult as long as
he keeps his ponderous weight down.
Who benefits if
Shelton comes through and veterans like Randy Stark, the Bryants (Armonty and
Desmond), Billy Winn and John Hughes stay healthy and control the line of
scrimmage? The inside linebackers, who, if kept clean, can be much more
productive than last season. Karlos Dansby, Craig Robertson and Christian
Kirksey on occasion were effective at times last season when the defensive line
showed up.
Speaking of the
defensive line and ponderous weight, will tackle Phil Taylor play an entire
season? Looking at a playing pattern since he was drafted in 2011, yes. He
plays just about every game in every odd season, while injuries in even years have
cut short his season. This is his fifth season. He’s due.
Sticking with the
defense, how much of a chance will second-year cornerback Justin Gilbert get to
claim a starting job after a disappointing rookie season? With the addition
of nine-year veteran Tramon Williams, practically none. But a strong camp and
exhibition showing could result in plenty of time as a nickel back in his
battle with K’Waun Williams, who surprised everyone last season with a steady
performance.
How much longer can Tramon
Williams, signed as a free agent, continue to be effective? His performance
has slipped in recent years. That’s why the Green Bay Packers did not did not
stop him from leaving. Look for that to continue.
What are the odds
Barkevious Mingo can be the edge rusher the Browns thought he was when drafted
a couple of years ago? Very high unless he packs on about 15 more pounds
and comes up with more moves than the two he employs. He’s (disappointingly)
more effective in pass coverage.
How easy/difficult a
transition to the NFL will it be for rookie edge rusher Nate Orchard, who
produced 18½ sacks in college last season? It’s one thing to rush the
passer in college, where pass blocking schemes are far less sophisticated.
Orchard, who arrives with the reputation of having a motor that doesn’t stop,
will be successful in transitioning to the National Football League if he is
smart enough to adjust on the fly to the wide variety of looks he is certain to
get as he zeroes in on opposing quarterbacks. If not, he’s Mingo all over
again.
Who else stands out
in that area? Veteran Paul Kruger, who produced 11 of the team’s 31 sacks
last season, and Scott Solomon, a late-season pickup last year who flashed in
his only two games with seven tackles and a sack.
What about defensive
end Xavier Cooper, for whom the club traded up in the college draft and about
whom it is full of praise because of his revved-up engine? Bears watching.
Again, the switch from college to the professional ranks can be steep. There is
no question the Browns are counting on Orchard and him in the pass rush.
Who wins the
placekicker battle? The candidates: Carey Spear and Travis Coons. Both were
signed as free agents out college and cut by their teams before signing with
the Browns last December. Spear is a native Clevelander (Mayfield High School).
Neither possesses what you would call a big leg. The guess here is no one wins
and the Browns scour the waiver wire and sign a veteran just before the season
opener.
Who is the club’s
most important addition? Andy Lee. Without a doubt. A punter? Really?
Really. Watch how much a difference he will make in field position this season.
That has been missing the last two seasons. Don’t underestimate it.
What rookies will
bust out and become a starter and/or vital contributor this season? As many
as four, maybe five. They include, in no particular order, Johnson, Erving, Shelton,
Orchard and possibly Cooper.
Who wins the punt and
kickoff return jobs? Don’t underestimate their importance. The Browns were
awful in both departments last season, often putting the offense in deep holes.
The leading candidates are Gilbert and wide receivers Taylor Gabriel and Travis
Benjamin. The latter, extremely disappointing last season, is farther removed
from his ACL surgery in 2013 and thus that much healthier. He was extremely
cautious as a return man last season.
How can the offense
function efficiently without a true pass-catching tight end? With a great
deal of difficulty, that’s how. The Browns have absolutely no one on the roster
who can be counted on to contribute in the passing game. When opponents see
that, the Cleveland offense can count on seeing eight men in the box with
annoying frequency.
All right then, who
will be the club’s No. 1 wide receiver? The definitive answer is no one.
This corps is just plain bad from top to bottom. But there are plenty of 3’s,
4’s and 5’s. And don’t even think about using of Dwayne Bowe and No. 1 receiver
in the same sentence. That’s an oxymoron. Andrew Hawkins, Brian Hartline,
Gabriel and maybe rookie Vince Mayle, if he makes the final roster, are
mediocre at best.
Well, what about
Terrelle Pryor? Where does he fit
in? In his own mind, he believes he will be the best wide receiver on the
club. Said so just the other day. If the former Ohio State quarterback can
translate that approach and combine it with a strong work ethic, he has a
chance. Once he starts playing the games, though, he will be in for a big
surprise. It’s going to be much more difficult than he believes. The odds of
seeing him on the opening-day roster are sizable.
OK, OK, time for a
Johnny Manziel question. How comfortable should he get on the sideline as he
watches McCown? Very comfortable until McCown suffers the inevitable fate
of just about all Browns quarterbacks since the resurrection. He will get
hurt. Count on it. Don’t know when,
but it will happen and Manziel will get an opportunity to prove he belongs in
the NFL. If he fails to be a quick study this time, he will suffer the same
result as last season.
From where and from
whom will the leadership come? On defense, it’s from inside linebacker
Karlos Dansby, strong safety Donte Whitner and cornerback Joe Haden. On
offense, it has to come from McCown because, well, because he’s the quarterback
and the most important player on that side of the ball.
How much better a
defense can the fans expect this season? It can’t be any worse against the
run than it was last season when it finished dead last in the league. Shelton’s
presence alone assures there will be no repeat. An improved run defense means
more teams will throw against the Browns. Now, we’ll see just how good the
secondary is. Last season, it ranked very high because most teams preferred to
run against Cleveland and didn’t need to throw the ball that much, thus skewing
the statistics. An improved pass rush helps.
And what kind of pass
rush can the fans look forward to? Pettine arrived in Cleveland from Buffalo
with the reputation of being a quarterback-harassing specialist. That
disappeared last season when he realized he didn’t have Mario Williams, Marcell
Dareus and Jerry Hughes (wrong Hughes) on the roster. The three Bills linemen
combined for 34½ of the team’s 54 sacks last season. The Browns’ defensive line
produced seven, five by Desmond Bryant. Won’t be much different this season.
What about the
offense? Better than last season? Not if it performs as poorly as it did in
the last five games when it produced only six touchdowns and just 57 points, 12
via the field goal. Brian Hoyer is gone, Manziel is tethered to the bench and
McCown is the quintessential NFL journeyman working with a highly questionable
corps of receivers. Don’t hold your breath.
Some questions, deemed less important by the panel of one,
have been excluded. The only conclusion that can be reached by the panel is
this will be a long, long season. Maybe even longer than last season when 7-9
was regarded as relatively great despite losing the last five games.
Playing a much tougher schedule (only three teams with
losing records last season) points to yet another disappointing season in the Factory
of Sadness. If the Browns win seven or more games this season, Pettine should
be named coach of the year.